Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000539 0.000623 0.000713 0.000815 0.000928 0.001050 0.001189
2025-06-15 0.000407 0.000521 0.000652 0.000813 0.001002 0.001217 0.001478
2025-06-22 0.000336 0.000462 0.000615 0.000811 0.001051 0.001334 0.001689
2025-06-29 0.000279 0.000411 0.000578 0.000800 0.001084 0.001428 0.001871
2025-07-06 0.000234 0.000366 0.000542 0.000784 0.001103 0.001501 0.002026
2025-07-13 0.000209 0.000346 0.000535 0.000803 0.001165 0.001626 0.002247
2025-07-20 0.000187 0.000326 0.000525 0.000815 0.001216 0.001738 0.002452
2025-07-27 0.000162 0.000299 0.000501 0.000806 0.001238 0.001810 0.002606
2025-08-03 0.000140 0.000272 0.000475 0.000791 0.001248 0.001865 0.002738
2025-08-10 0.000126 0.000258 0.000467 0.000800 0.001292 0.001966 0.002933
2025-08-17 0.000112 0.000243 0.000455 0.000801 0.001323 0.002050 0.003105
2025-08-24 0.000095 0.000218 0.000426 0.000775 0.001313 0.002074 0.003195
2025-08-31 0.000080 0.000196 0.000399 0.000750 0.001304 0.002101 0.003290
2025-09-07 0.000071 0.000183 0.000387 0.000748 0.001328 0.002175 0.003454
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000171 0.000376 0.000747 0.001352 0.002250 0.003619
2025-09-21 0.000054 0.000158 0.000360 0.000737 0.001363 0.002303 0.003754
2025-09-28 0.000046 0.000144 0.000343 0.000722 0.001364 0.002342 0.003869
2025-10-05 0.000043 0.000141 0.000344 0.000739 0.001417 0.002461 0.004102
2025-10-12 0.000040 0.000136 0.000342 0.000750 0.001461 0.002566 0.004317
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000126 0.000330 0.000742 0.001472 0.002620 0.004456
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000116 0.000315 0.000728 0.001471 0.002656 0.004569
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000111 0.000312 0.000736 0.001510 0.002754 0.004777
2025-11-09 0.000024 0.000106 0.000306 0.000738 0.001536 0.002832 0.004955